← Yeti Revelfest Weekly Event 3/6/2025
Water Umbra DianaTier 2
at Yeti Revelfest Weekly Event 3/6/2025
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1186
· median 1186
· range 1186–1186
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1216
Q3 1442
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Water Allies | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Jin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
